Okay so I was chatting with my quote-friendly friend @PaokCT and figured I'd post this here. I know it's very early and I may be jinxing the team, but I like this stuff so I'm gonna do it.
For CL qualifying next season, we would get into the second round (assuming of course we end the SL in second place, of course). This round has six second-place teams, which this season will be from Turkey, Netherlands, Austria, Czech Republic, Greece, and Croatia. Two of those teams are already known - Viktoria Plzen (34 coefficient points) and AZ Alkmaar (18.5 coefficient points).
Turkey's #2 is Trabzonspor, who is banned from UEFA competitions - if results hold, that means Sivasspor will be get Turkey's QR2 slot. I don't know how likely this is as they're only two points up from Galatasaray (with one more game played), but let's assume they make it through - Sivasspor would just have Turkey's league bonus, which looks to be 5.72 next season (Galatasaray is 23.5).
Austria's runner up is Rapid Wien (22), which has 32 points in the league. They have a game in hand and a narrow lead over LASK (14 points) and Wolfsberg (6.585), who both have 31 points in the league - so things can change there as well.
In Croatia, Tudor's old team - Hajduk Split (7.5) - is in second place, with 54 points. They are ahead based on goal differential vs Lokomotiva (4.1). Neither of them can be seeded above us, so this race doesn't really matter, though I'd prefer the worse team to go through.
PAOK has 21 points going into this next season.
So if the current standings do not change, this is what we're looking at:
Seeded:
Viktoria Plzen (34)
Rapid Wien (22)
PAOK (21)
Unseeded:
AZ Alkmaar (18.5)
Sivasspor (5.72)
Hajduk (7.5)
Worst case (and more likely):
Viktoria Plzen (34)
Galatasaray (23.5)
Rapid Wien (22)
Unseeded:
PAOK (21)
AZ Alkmaar (18.5)
Hajduk (7.5)
Best case:
Viktoria Plzen (34)
PAOK (21)
AZ Alkmaar (18.5)
Unseeded:
LASK (14)
Sivasspor (5.72)
Lokomotiva (4.1)
Right now, we need to hope Sivasspor remains ahead of Galatasaray and Besiktas, who would both be seeded ahead of us. In Austria, we need to hope Rapid Wien drops into third place - that would help us if Sivasspor falls, and would also provide us with an easier potential matchup against an unseeded team. Rapid going to the EL would also mean we could avoid AZ, which would be huge.