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Everything posted by pash
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Yeah those kinds of headlines are hilarious, though fans in other countries are prime targets for this kind of silliness since they wouldn't be paying attention to little things like publicly known buyout clauses. I'm sure we hear the same kind of stuff. I don't think this has been mentioned yet but CSKA might be interested in Wernbloom. This would be a great opportunity to give him the boot. inPAOK made a second post about it today (mainly regarding him doing an interview), but it begs the question...why is he speaking at all? Fingers crossed!
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BTW I don't think we've been talking about this but the situation in Brazil looks especially grim. They are not yet at their peak from what I can see, and the mass graves are already being dug. When all is said and done I wonder what the mortality rate difference will be between them and us.
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BTW it looks like Tsilianidis over at OFI has a similar issue. Is it possible that two or three months of inactivity has led these players to overexert now that they're back to training? There is a short amount of time between the resumption of training and the first games, after all...
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Except that Glykos, Mistakidis, and Augusto all hurt their knees while in training, right? Perhaps our training fields have regressed since Ivic's mysterious improvements?
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Augusto tore a ligament, he's out for the season...and summer...and probably fall?
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Same, no way they're going to be in shape by then. Mihaj was very good in his last match though!
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Man who even knows what the lineup will look like here... --Zivkovic-- --Soares--Varela--Mihaj--Vieirinha-- --Esiti--Mauricio-- --Limnios-- --Biseswar-- --Pelkas--Swiderski-- But I really have no clue. Five subs too so we'll see basically the entire offensive side of the team change. We also have El Kaddouri, Lamprou, Akpom there...
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I have multiple friends that were at the beach last Friday/Saturday/Sunday, even though they were "locked down" until today. I have another set of friends who all thought if they stayed indoors for two weeks, that they could then go and host dinner parties/set up playdates for their kids/travel all over the state to have fun with friends. It's unreal. They legitimately think there's no issue with them doing whatever they want.
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Rumors coming hot and fast, same position: https://www.transfermarkt.com/aitor-cantalapiedra/profil/spieler/323740 Some highlights here. https://inpaok.com/643804/aftos-ine-o-kantalapiedra-videos/ Dunno, doesn't seem that special to me. Cheap though.
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Yeah, and a big part of the manipulation you mention can also be a result of sampling bias. Unfortunately there is no perfect way to get this kind of data; we have a finite amount of time and resources (manpower/cash), so we need to extrapolate from a sample. This is why even a large number in a sample might still yield garbage info. I have a friend who's a research chemist who spends a lot of of his time ranting about standard deviations, since that is apparently how his company measures the likelihood of a batch (of experiments? medications? who knows!) being bad. Though I can't recall any specific numbers from him. For fun, I looked at my notes from a managerial statistics class which gives some basic definitions of sampling methods. Too bad there were no hard numbers in it: Simple random sample: Every member of the population has an equal chance of being selected. Advantages: Simple to design and analyze, Difficult to mess up Disadvantages: Can lead to high variance, Might be costly Stratified random sample: Divide population into strata according to a certain trait, then do a simple random sample proportionally from each strata according to strata size. Advantages: Representation of key traits proportional to population. Disadvantages: Wrong results if incorrect strata, Might be more costly Cluster sample: Divide the population into clusters homogeneous with respect to the population. Perform a simple random sample on one (or a few) clusters. Advantages: Less costly to perform Disadvantages: Bad results if cluster is biased And then of course we have how data (even GOOD data!) is presented - can anyone see what's screwed up about the below examples? Personally, I think this is where a lot of misinformation - directed to the public - about covid-19 will come from, but it will hopefully have less of an impact on the actual companies doing their research.
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The statistics I've studied is mostly based around finance but basically, the number you need is only defined as "sufficiently large" in textbooks. Which is a cop-out, I know. Most professors I've had say anywhere from 60-100, and I know that for calculating certain distributions that any value of N (sample) > 100 yields diminishing returns. BUT, studying diseases is a whole different kettle of fish. I'd say 45 is clearly statistically insignificant, though I don't know how to distinguish between the value of 600 vs 1000 (or like 2000). I'd imagine that more data is often more useful though! I bet that the 600 for Moderna's vaccine is probably chosen for a good reason. These guys generally know what they're doing, you know?
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I don't buy it. Here's his profile: https://www.transfermarkt.com/bernard-mensah/profil/spieler/324321
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I think Ingason is our most expensive purchase actually. Jaba's deal seems to never have been fully disclosed, though the upper bounds of what's suggested would put him slightly ahead if true.
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You may have noticed a market rally yesterday based on "vaccine news." The below is it. Way way way too early if you ask me. For anyone who's taken a course in statistics, sample size is something that is important to keep in mind - 45 people is *not* a significant number here. Success in the next step they mention (600-person trial) would be big news, though. https://www.cnbc.com/2020/05/18/moderna-reports-positive-data-on-early-stage-coronavirus-vaccine-trial.html In other news, my state has begun its first tentative steps towards reopening. As anticipated, they basically mirrored New York's (which is our "coalition partner") - construction and manufacturing can begin immediately, and churches/mosques/temples can reopen at greatly reduced capacity. I am pretty sure almost all manufacturing counted as "essential" before so I'm not sure what actually changes here. It also seems like each phase of our reopening is set to take at least three weeks, so we're looking at end of July at the earliest for Massachusetts to be open. I haven't seen news on Pennsylvania but I'd imagine they're in line with us. Most of our neighbors seem to be opening various sectors of their economy in the next week or so. On the plus side, Massachusetts is planning to build out testing capacity to 45,000 tests per day. That's much higher than most states (and countries) on a per-capita basis, but is obviously not universal testing (it would take ~156 days for every person to be tested once at that rate). That's still worrying, but apparently tests are being developed that are based on cheek swabs (less intrusive/quicker) that may help further increase the rate. Until there is a vaccine or real treatment, expect life to be shitty for a long while.
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Yeah that's also true. End it where it is, let the promotion/relegation take its place. Standings are unlikely to change, unless Olympiakos manages to get us to lose another dozen or so points. Perhaps that's why the games are going on, so that they have time to push that? ?
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The difference is that the teams at the top have deep benches. Ferreira will be forced to do a rotation, at least after a week or so. This was always going to be a bloodbath, even without the virus. This will just ramp up the intensity even more.
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Seems he's responding to DMs on the subject (second picture). Not that he was realistically going to be an option
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Game is on for June 7th it seems. Games will be played twice a week with five subs allowed per match
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If George's comments and instagram story from today are anything to go by, Vieirinha will be signing a new contract sooner than later.
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Babushka, I have no idea how to parse what you wrote. Did you have a stroke?
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Not sure how you're reaching that conclusion. Perhaps if it had originated in Israel? At that institute?
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Two guesses: Pandemics might be considered a national security issue Perhaps that institute is a military research facility? Government is weird.
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And that Mauricio is set to depart when his contract is up. I liked the guy but def time to move onto someone cheaper and younger.
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Please, they could be given an extra five million euros and season-long transfers and still end up in fifth place.