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PAOK's 2015-2016 Playoff race


Blackhawk

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Well the hearing was last Thursday and the verdict es expected by the end of this week. My prediction is that it will be -3 points, 4 to 6 games in empty Toumba and a a massive monetary fine.

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After Round 27 results, AEK has mathematically secured a spot in the playoffs. Panathinaikos will lose a spot only if the lose all their remaining three games. I also think Tripoli and Levadeikaos are pretty much out of it. With that in mind:

 

STANDINGS AFTER ROUND 27

 

4. PAOK - 44
5. Panionios - 41
-----------------------
6. PAS Giannina   35
7. Platanias  35

 

ROUND 28
 
Levadeiakos - PAS Giannina
Panionios - PAOK
Platanias - Xanthi
 
ROUND 29
 
PAOK - Levadeiakos 
AEK - Panionios
PAS Giannina - Platanias
 
ROUND 30
 
Xanthi - PAS Giannina
Platanias - PAOK
Panionios - Atromitos
 
If the playoffs tarted today, the initial standings would be:
 
1. AEK  2
2. PAO  1
3. PAOK  1
4. Panionios 0
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Giannina - panionios just ended in a tie.

Actually, the tie is a better result considering that with a 6 points deduction we would have been just one point ahead to Giannina if they had won today.

As it is now with just 3 matchdays left, the standings are:

PAOK 44 (38) remaining games: Panionios away, Levadiakos home, Platanias away

Panionios 41 r.g.: PAOK h, AEK a, Atromitos h

Platanias 35 r.g.: Xanthi h, Giannina a, PAOK h

Giannina 35 r.g.: Levadiakos a, Platanias h, Xanthi a

Let's say we get 6 points deducted and lose to Panionios but win at home against Levadiakos. We would have 41 points in this case.

Platanias would need 6 points against Giannina away and Xanthi at home to tie with us, but we would have still the better goal difference in comparison. Finally, they would need to win against us to be in 5th place.

Giannina on the other hand has games against Levadiakos away, Platanias at home and Xanthi away. They would need to win against two of their opponents and to tie with the third at least to get to the 5th place. Furthermore, they'd have to hope that we lose against Platanias.

Having that said, I think Giannina has the least chances to get to the 5th place. Platanias could turn into a real threat since we play our last match against them away. But then again, destiny is in our own hands.

With that in mind, we should keep an eye on their results, especially on the match winner of Giannina vs. Platanias. However, I'm not really afraid of them nor do I believe they're able to keep getting good results until the end of the season. They don't have the quality for that.

Oh and btw, have I already mentioned that Panionios has 2 derbys after the match with us?

Edited by Klaous
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I don't think they will take 6 points from us. I think it will be 3 points. There is also a chance that AEK will get deducted 3 points.

 

Additionally, Panionios and possibly Giannina might not receive a license to play in the playoffs, so it could really become a big mess.

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Edited

Yeah, agreed. I wouldn't blink with an eye if the referee calls are in our favour for the next three matches too. After all, Marinakis needs some idiots who are able to get Greece some points in UEFA.

Edited by Blackhawk
No reason to quote a post prior to yours.
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After today's EPO decision, the situation is as follows:

 

STANDINGS AFTER ROUND 27

 

4. Panionios - 41
5. PAOK - 39
-----------------------
6. PAS Giannina   35
7. Platanias  35

 

ROUND 28
 
Levadeiakos - PAS Giannina
Panionios - PAOK
Platanias - Xanthi
 
ROUND 29
 
PAOK - Levadeiakos 
AEK - Panionios
PAS Giannina - Platanias
 
ROUND 30
 
Xanthi - PAS Giannina
Platanias - PAOK
Panionios - Atromitos
 
If the playoff started today, the initial standings would be:
 
1. AEK  3
2. PAO  2
3. Panionios 0
4. PAOK  0
 
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  • 2 weeks later...

Situation did not get any clearer following Round 28:

 

STANDINGS AFTER ROUND 28

 

4. Panionios - 44
5. PAOK - 39  (assuming -5 point deduction)
-----------------------
6. Platanias  38
7. Tripoli  37
8. PAS Giannina   36
 

ROUND 29

 
PAOK - Levadeiakos 
AEK - Panionios
PAS Giannina - Platanias
Tripoli - Panathinaikos
 
ROUND 30
 
Xanthi - PAS Giannina
Platanias - PAOK
Panionios - Atromitos
Tripoli - Veroia
 
If the playoff started today, the initial standings would be:
 
1. AEK  2  (assuming PAOK -5 and AEK -3 point deductions)
2. PAO  2
3. Panionios 1
4. PAOK  0
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Panionios did not receive a license today from the EPO licensing committee. They have two chances to appeal this decision, and they claim that there will be no problem. However if that decision stands, Panionios will not be able to take part in the playoffs. On the other hand PAS Giannina received a license, which will make their game against Platanias that more interesting. I see Tripoli sneaking in into the playoffs at the last minute.

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Situation is not 100% clear due to several appeals concerning point deductions.

 

STANDINGS AFTER ROUND 29

 

4. Panionios - 44
5. PAOK - 42  (assuming -5 point deduction)
-----------------------
6. PAS Giannina   39
7. Platanias  38
8. Tripoli  38
9. Atromitos  36 (assuming -3 point deduction)
 
ROUND 30
 
Xanthi - PAS Giannina
Platanias - PAOK
Panionios - Atromitos
Tripoli - Veroia
 
If the playoff started today, the initial standings would be:
 
1. AEK  2  (assuming PAOK -5 and AEK -3 point deductions)
2. PAO  2
3. Panionios 0  (assuming they win their appeal to receive license from EPO to play)
4. PAOK  0
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Basically PAOK has secured a playoff spot. There is a very slight chance that they will not finish in top 5, and the only way for that to happen all these scenarios must come true:

 

- PAOK must not win their appeal and the point deduction remains at 5 points

- PAOK loses to Platanias on Sunday

- PAS Giannina defeats Xanthi

- Atromitos wins their appeal and gets the 3 points back

- Atromitos defeats Panionios

 

If all these things happen, there will be a 3-way tie between PAOK, PAS and Atromitos, and PAS finishes in 5th place.

 

Keep also in mind that a team that finishes in 6th place will also get into the playoffs if Panionios fails to receive the license to play.

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We won back 2 points through the appeal process. This means we have secured a spot in the playoffs, and the Platanias game is meaningless

STANDINGS AFTER ROUND 29

 

4. Panionios - 44  (assuming Panonios gets a license)
5. PAOK - 44
-----------------------
6. PAS Giannina   39
7. Platanias  38
8. Tripoli  38
9. Atromitos  36 (assuming -3 point deduction remains)
 
ROUND 30
 
Xanthi - PAS Giannina
Platanias - PAOK
Panionios - Atromitos
Tripoli - Veroia
 
If the playoff started today, the initial standings would be:
 
1. AEK  2  (assuming AEK -3 point deductions remains)
2. PAO  2
3. Panionios 0  (assuming Panonios gets a license)
4. PAOK  0
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Blackhawk if PAOK and Panionios lose this weekend and AEK win would that get us an extra point for the playoffs?

 

There are several issues that need to be resolved first:

 

- will Panionios get a license

- will AEK and Atromitos get the 3 points back

- who will get 6th place (if Panionios does not get a license)

- and finally what the results of last round will be.

 

In a normal situation the first three issues would have been decided before the last round of games is played. 

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